Rudin Weekly: Recent Comments

Comment on The Long Shot

2011-10-26T20:01:51Z

LOVE this betting theory. I have lived by it for many years and it is nice to see someone put it in writing. Some recent examples, Padres winning the NL West in 2010 at 40 to 1. Brutal choke job. This year, I went with the Pirates at 100 to 1 in the Central and they looked good for awhile, but then fell apart miserably after the all-star break. Clearly I should have taken the D-Backs, who at their best were 40 or 50 to 1. Generally football and baseball are better for these long shots because the playoffs can be a crapshoot, but even basketball has its random champs. Look at the Mavs this year, they must have been 30 to 1 at one point. In keeping with this tradition, I went with the Bills to win the AFC East at 30 to 1, and the Raiders to win the West at 6 to 1, which the odds fell back to after the KC loss. My best ever was taking the Chargers in 2004 at 30 to 1 when they came out of nowhere, won me over $1000. Division bets are great because you only have to beat 3 other teams in the NFL. The key here, which you highlighted with your examples, is getting the bets in at the right time. The odds can change drastically from week to week, so being aware of upcoming schedules and overhyped competition is a must. Like in your Saints example, their odds are surely worse because the Packers are playing so well, but if you don't believe in the Pack, you can benefit from betting on their competition. That is why the Rangers and Cardinals would have been great bets in baseball, because the Yankees and Phillies were severely overrated, as they are every year. Looking at this week's futures on Oddsmaker.com, my favorites would have to be Broncos at 50 to 1 winning the AFC West or the Bucs at 40 to 1 to win the NFC.

Comment on Random Thoughts on a Saturday Morning

2011-10-24T23:05:59Z

If I am not mistaken, you got every pick except the Steelers WRONG this week! Haha, that is awesome, gotta love it.

I love Tebow's game too but a pro-life commercial during the Super Bowl comes pretty close to shoving his beliefs down our throat.

And you can't judge the 1027 to 1 proportion without looking at the civilian casualty proportions side by side, just saying. Should they have released him for nothing after thousands were killed in Beirut as a result of just his kidnapping? Hell no. Even if half of the people released are career criminals and/or terrorists, what about the other half? I think the world doesn't care anymore because the responses of both sides are increasingly extreme and disproportionate.

And yes, UCLA is bad and so are the Raiders, which is good news for this Charger fan. At least you recognize Campbell's value and Palmer's limitations. Even if he is below average, they still have a good shot at a weak AFC West, hell so do the Broncos. This Bruin is hoping we go after Mike Leach to replace Neuheisel.

Comment on Random Thoughts After a 2-12 NFL Week

2010-11-19T16:38:32Z

For someone who dislikes NY/NJ sports teams as much as you, you sure do like TV shows about us!!

Comment on NFL Playoff Preview

2010-09-04T13:45:09Z

This is my first time at your blog and I've really enjoyed looking around. I will come back again in the future to check out some of the other articles.

Comment on Break-Ups Are Too Hard

2010-09-03T00:23:35Z

Sounds like Dodger Stadium is a steal compared to Yankee Stadium!

True Allyson, except at Yankee Stadium the home team wins. -RW

Comment on NFL Playoff Preview

2010-08-27T15:13:00Z

I like your style, the fact that your site is a little bit different makes it so interesting, I get fed up of seeing same-old-same-old all of the time. I've just stumbled this page for you :-D

Thanks. I always appreciate the positive feedback. I hope you continue to enjoy. Let me know if you have any requests for columns. -RW

Comment on The Second Half Of The LeBronathon

2010-07-09T08:13:56Z

You sure you didn't catch the 2nd half of the interview? That seemed pretty accurate.

Comment on Sports Matter

2010-05-11T22:40:09Z

About time...

Comment on It's Madness!

2010-03-19T05:22:32Z

Love it! Just wanted to make sure I'm the younger sis you're referring to =)

Comment on NFL Playoff Preview

2010-01-20T01:51:09Z

Jeez......you sure effed these picks up